Appendix 4:
Low Pay Commission Research Projects

1.

As mentioned in the first volume of this report, we based our recommendations on extensive research and consultation. We commissioned 21 research projects and undertook our own survey of firms in low-paying sectors. We have described the findings of our own survey in Appendix 2 to Volume 1 and in Appendix 5 to this volume. In this appendix we describe the research projects which we commissioned, and their main findings.

 

2.

The research covered:

  • the impact of the minimum wage on businesses including small businesses and certain sectors: for example, the effect of the upratings, impacts on pay differentials, employment, recruitment and training;
  • the impact on particular groups such as disabled people, ethnic minorities, homeworkers, women and young people;
  • the impact of the minimum wage upon poverty; and
  • compliance and enforcement.

 

3.

We had a research budget of £250,000. We publicised our requirements on our own Internet website, in the British Universities’ Industrial Relations Association (BUIRA) Newsletter (Industrial Relations Research Mailbase, 12/4/2000) and among researchers and academics who had previously expressed interest in our work. An article in Labour Market Trends (December 2000) described the Commission’s strategy for monitoring and evaluating the National Minimum Wage.

 

4.

An independent chairman from the Department of Trade and Industry assisted us in assessing the bids. We ranked the bids according to their relevance to our terms of reference, our judgment about the potential effectiveness of their methodology, and their value for money. We commissioned 21 projects.

 

5.

These projects used a variety of research methods, including face-to-face interviews and discussion groups, and postal and telephone surveys of individuals and firms. We also commissioned econometric modelling to estimate individual-level employment effects and microsimulation modelling to estimate the effect of the minimum wage on poverty.

 

6.

Projects were undertaken by specialist research organisations, individual professional researchers, academics and those with a professional interest in the group they were examining, such as the National Group on Homeworking. This research complemented the oral and written evidence and our other work. We gained valuable insights and supporting evidence. Brief descriptions of the projects including the main findings are shown in Table A4.

 

7.

The data available to researchers and their quality both continue to accumulate and improve. But the full effect of the minimum wage will be captured only in the longer term. Key sources of information that we need to continue to monitor are the longitudinal Labour Force Survey, the British Household Panel Survey (BHPS) and the New Earnings Survey Panel Dataset. In our first two reports we highlighted the need for longer-term research and analysis of the impact of the minimum wage on the labour market. Now that the Government has confirmed that the Commission is a permanent body, we look forward to starting soon the process of putting in place a longer-term strategic approach to research on the minimum wage.

 

 

Table A4

Low Pay Commission Research Projects

Contractor

Aims and Objectives

Methodology

Results

D. Adam- Smith, G. Norris and S. Williams (University of Portsmouth Business School)

To investigate the impact of the National Minimum Wage on the hospitality industry in the Portsmouth area.

24 semi- structured interviews with managers or proprietors and 21 semi- structured interviews with workers (covering current and recent experience of 42 jobs).

The introduction of the minimum wage had little impact on the industry in Portsmouth. Few establishments have been required to increase wage rates as a direct result and even fewer adversely affected. No direct evidence exists of reduction in either staffing levels or employee benefits. Some acceptance by employers of the part that training can play in making businesses profitable.

A. Bullock, A. Hughes and F. Wilkinson (ESRC Centre for Business Research, University of Cambridge)

To assess the impact of the minimum wage on small and medium- sized enterprises.

Postal questionnaire (254 responses) of small and medium- sized businesses, in the cleaning and security industry, with comparisons drawn against the 1999 survey.

The main impact of the minimum wage was found to be on increased prices and reduced profits, but there was a range of other impacts. Firms responded by: increasing wages to restore differentials; raising efficiency by increasing control of both labour and non- labour costs; reducing employment and hours worked and increased training. On balance firms reported an increase in labour turnover.

Some firms responded by attempting to improve their competitive strategy. Firms put increasing emphasis on price, personal attention to clients’ needs, quality and reliance on established reputation. Greater emphasis was also placed on speed of service and specialisation.

F. Colgon, M. Davis and S. Jefferys (University of North London)

To identify and assess the impact of the National Minimum Wage on ethnic minority workers in North London.

Interviews with 225 employees and 129 employers/ managers of commercial premises in the North London area. In- depth interviews with representatives of 12 community organisations.

Awareness of the minimum wage was found to be high with two- thirds of employees and four- fifths of employers having heard of it. But only one in four of the employers and one in five of the employees knew the correct rate. 29% of employees interviewed stated that they were working ‘off the books’.

The introduction of the National Minimum Wage and its enhancement in 2000 made little impact, largely because wages tended to be above the minimum wage level. 5.2% of employees who had heard of the minimum wage received a pay rise as a result of its introduction.

G. Cox (Greater Manchester Low Pay Unit)

To analyse the rates of pay available to younger workers, and to study the way in which the minimum wage has had an impact on the youth labour market.

Analysis of Jobcentre and Careers Services data on vacancies. A short questionnaire to Careers Services about their experience of the introduction of the minimum wage. Interviews with small groups of young people about their understanding of the minimum wage and their own experiences of it.

Many jobs for 16 and 17 year olds already pay levels equivalent to or above the minimum wage rates either for 18— 21 year olds or for 22 year olds. At the same time some are paying very low rates of pay. The use of age- related rates in jobs advertised in Jobcentres is small, and concentrated in few occupational sectors. Most Careers Services said that the number of vacancies had generally remained unchanged since the introduction of the minimum wage. In general, jobs that offer formal training offer lower rates of pay than jobs which offer ‘in- house’ or ‘on- the- job’ training.

Many of the young people questioned were aware of the National Minimum Wage, but not its detailed aspects.

T. Dignan (Equality Commission for Northern Ireland)

To examine the impact in Northern Ireland of the National Minimum Wage on the employment patterns of men and women.

Firms, in low- paying sectors, were selected for interview — 112 had preliminary interviews and 30 of these full interviews. Data were collected from appropriate organisations, and focus groups convened to discuss issues.

Most firms (73%) said the introduction of the minimum wage had minor or no implications for their pay structures. The majority of employees in firms affected by the minimum wage were women. No significant negative impact to date on equality of opportunity due to adjustments to jobs or hours, or the secondary employment impact of adjustments via prices and profits.

J. Heyes and A. Gray (Leeds University Business School)

To examine the impact of the National Minimum Wage on the pay, recruitment and training practices of small firms, with particular regard to younger workers.

A questionnaire survey of small firms (258 responses) and 12 case studies.

The minimum wage resulted in pay increases in more than half of responding firms. The three most common means of offsetting labour costs were increasing prices, reducing working hours and improving product or service quality. The minimum wage appears to have stimulated an increase in training activity. In a large majority of cases the pay and training received by workers aged 21 were more in line with that of older workers than younger workers. A small minority of employers sought to employ more 16 and 17 year olds as a result of their exemption.

M. Hudson (University of Cambridge)

To examine the impact of the minimum wage on disabled people and therapeutic activity, looking particularly at the definition of work and interaction with the benefits system.

Case studies of a variety of employment projects, 8 day centre based projects and 7 non day centre based projects. A total of 49 interviews, predominantly in Newham and Salford.

For the most part employment projects have not seen an adverse impact on opportunities for therapeutic activity or supported employment, but the parameters of that activity were being curtailed as projects tried to stay within the benefits and minimum wage rules. There were real concerns about moving into employment and losing benefit entitlement. Increased flexibility would provide a greater degree of opportunity, choice and independence for disabled people.

Incomes Data Services Ltd.

To gather information on, and examine the issues in, minimum wage applications to employment tribunals.

Information was analysed from 44 published decisions of employment tribunals, out of around 300 cases related to the minimum wage which have gone to a tribunal hearing. The cases were selected for raising specific legal or factual issues.

The cases examined raised various issues including training, travel time, allowances, detriment and dismissal. In the sample two- thirds of applicants were women and only a minority still worked for the same employer when the claim was brought. Workers were more successful in non- payment claims than in dismissal claims. The average hourly rate which workers stated they were earning was £2.28.

Incomes Data Services Ltd.

To monitor the effects of the minimum wage, in particular to assess the impact of the June increase for young people and of the increase in the main rate in October 2000. To focus on key developments in lower- paying sectors, young people and the public sector.

IDS contacted a large number of organisations in a variety of industries, using questionnaires, telephone and face- to- face interviews. The first report included data collected up to October 2000. A second report included data collected up to February 2001.

An overview of the key rates of pay in low- paying sectors was provided as well as focusing on the minimum wage effect on differentials, young people, staffing levels and recruitment and retention. A key theme that emerged was that the minimum wage and the tight labour market were causing upward pressure on pay, which was sometimes offset by increases in productivity or changes in work practices. Consequently many firms had moved away from the bottom end of pay and towards £4.00 — the ‘mezzanine’ floor. No significant negative employment effects were detected, and the impact on differentials was limited. IDS found that the use of the Development Rate for young people was low and had been discontinued in many pub chains. There was a trend towards adult rates of pay starting at 18. The minimum wage had little impact on the public sector, with most pay rates above the minimum at the time of introduction.

B. Blyth (Leicester City Council)

To investigate the impact of the National Minimum Wage on workers from ethnic minorities, including awareness of their rights, non- compliance and the informal economy.

Interviews were conducted with 54 ethnic minority workers paid at or below the minimum wage in the Belgrave area of Leicester.

30 workers out of 54 were paid on average below the minimum wage. Wages as low as £1.60 per hour were found and none of the pieceworkers appeared to receive the minimum wage. Awareness of the rate of the minimum wage was high, at 70%, but there was a lack of awareness of how to complain. There was a real fear among workers that if they complained they would lose their jobs. There were examples of the informal economy in operation — in some cases the workers involved were content to collude but in others they were not.

R. Lucas and M. Langlois (Manchester Metropolitan University)

To examine the impact of the National Minimum Wage on students in work (mostly in the Greater Manchester area).

Survey (368 respondents) and follow- up interviews (42) of students in university, further education colleges and schools.

Most 18— 21 year olds were paid well above the current Development Rate. The minimum wage has not affected the number of jobs available to students and there is no evidence that employers or students have adjusted working hours in response to it. Many students had little awareness of the minimum wage beyond knowledge of the rates.

S. Sekharan and R. Lucas (Manchester Metropolitan University)

To compare the impact of the National Minimum Wage on treatment of young workers in hospitality firms in North Wales and North Manchester.

A postal questionnaire (29 respondents) and follow- up telephone interviews (7).

The minimum wage has had little impact on the employment practices and training of 29 hospitality firms in North Wales and North Manchester, and has not led to the substitution of young workers for older workers. Where employers pay lower rates to young people it is usually because of their perceived lower responsibilities, reliability, experience and skills, rather than age alone.

R. Dunstan and M. Tarpey (National Association of Citizens Advice Bureaux (NACAB))

To examine the scale and nature of National Minimum Wage- related inquiries to the CAB Service; the characteristics and experiences of CAB users in relation to the minimum wage; and the issues raised by CAB users regarding compliance with and enforcement of the minimum wage.

A representative, random sample of 64 CABx conducted a 3- month monitoring exercise of all minimum wage- related queries (120 in all). This was supplemented by the views and experiences of the centre managers or employment rights advisers.

There has been a decline in the number of minimum wage- related inquiries made to the CAB Service nationally from an estimated 50,000 in April— December 1999 to an estimated 5,000 inquiries per year by late 2000, many fewer than for some other employment issues. In terms of the advice work of CABx, the minimum wage appeared to have settled down since 1999, with non- compliance largely confined to particular, low- wage areas. Nevertheless there continued to be some lack of awareness of entitlement and enforcement methods.

L. Ellison (National Group on Homeworking (NGH))

To investigate the impact of the National Minimum Wage on homeworkers, with particular emphasis on their awareness of their rights and willingness to take enforcement action.

Research conducted with homeworkers known to the NGH or who contacted their Helpline. Initial questionnaire completed over the phone or in interviews; 30 follow- up in- depth interviews.

Generally, awareness of rights was good, but only a quarter of the industrial homeworkers involved in the research had hourly rates of pay equal to or above the minimum wage. Of those paid below the minimum wage who had not made a formal complaint, half had not done so for fear of losing work. Most of the 14 homeworkers who complained formally were satisfied or very satisfied with the actions of individual compliance officers. But all of those who had pursued a claim for non- payment were dissatisfied with the process.

E. Phimister, I. Theodossiou and A. Gilbert (University of Aberdeen)

To analyse the potential impact of the National Minimum Wage on wages and household incomes in rural areas.

Analysis of data from the BHPS for the years 1991— 98. Two distinct rural groups were considered in addition to individuals living in non- rural areas.

Low pay was more common in the remote rural group than elsewhere. Overall remote rural wages were significantly less than non- rural rates even after adjustments were made for differences in characteristics such as education and industrial structure. Upward wage mobility from low pay was lower and downward wage mobility higher in the remote rural group. The potential impact of the minimum wage on earnings inequality is relatively small but is greatest in remote rural areas. The potential impact of the minimum wage on poverty could be expected to be greatest in remote rural areas, as a greater proportion of remote rural workers affected by the minimum wage were resident in low- income households.

J. Schneider (University of Durham)

To explore the impact of the National Minimum Wage on employers’ attitudes to the employment of disabled people.

Questionnaires sent to 100 employers with experience of employing disabled people and 100 Disability Employment Advisors; 55 employers and 47 DEAs responded. Delphi method used to draw conclusions and analyse differences between the two groups.

There was general agreement that the minimum wage has benefited disabled people by making low- paid jobs better paid. About two- thirds of respondents thought the minimum wage had not reduced opportunities for disabled people to gain paid work. There were concerns about the adequacy of Access to Work funding, the costs of continuing to employ people with progressive conditions, and the interaction of the minimum wage with the Supported Employment Programme and with the benefits system.

M. Stewart (University of Warwick)

To estimate individual- level employment effects of the minimum wage.

Uses three different household surveys — the LFS, NES and BHPS — to construct a model to estimate the impact of the introduction of the minimum wage on the probability of subsequent employment.

The research presents estimates of the effects of the introduction of the minimum wage on the employment prospects of those affected. A feature of the methodology is that the group directly affected by the minimum wage is compared with a similar group from just above the minimum, which is used as a counterfactual. The overall evidence suggests that there were zero, or, if anything, small positive effects for adult men and young people. The conclusion for adult women was less clear- cut, but even for this group the effect was close to zero.

M. Stewart (University of Warwick) and J. Swaffield (University of York)

To use new information on the BHPS to evaluate the impact of the National Minimum Wage.

Uses wave 9 (Autumn 1999) of the BHPS. This included new questions specifically about the impact of the National Minimum Wage on earnings, compliance, employment and job prospects.

The research covered a range of labour market effects of the minimum wage. On earnings, it found a pronounced spike in the earnings distribution at the level of the minimum wage, and limited impact on differentials. The vast majority of workers were paid above the minimum wage, those paid below were more likely to be women, young people, the unskilled and part- timers. Most workers affected saw no change in hours or employment. There was some evidence of a positive incentive effect of the minimum wage, with one- fifth of the unemployed reporting a widening of jobs they were prepared to take.

H. Sutherland (University of Cambridge)

To explore the impact on poverty and on the incentive to work of the National Minimum Wage, in the context of changing policy on taxes and benefits.

Analysis based on the Microsimulation Unit’s tax- benefit model, POLIMOD, based on 1994/ 95 and 1995/ 96 FES, uprated to 2000/ 01 levels of incomes, taxes and benefit rates.

The combination of tax- benefit changes and the minimum wage is calculated to reduce the overall poverty rate from 18.6% to 14.4%. The impact of the minimum wage in reducing poverty rates is small. The main contribution of the minimum wage is in underpinning the strategy of benefits and in- work tax credits to supplement the family incomes of the low paid. The minimum wage makes a positive contribution to in- work income, particularly to families where WFTC and other in- work benefits are not payable. However there are also cases where work does not pay, particularly among the partners of the unemployed who are on benefit.

R. Bullard (West Midlands Low Pay Unit)

To investigate non- compliance and detriment related to the minimum wage; the extent of enforcement action; reasons for not enforcing; and the effectiveness of enforcement action.

Analysis of 159 calls to the Unit’s advice line between September 1999 and December 2000. A follow- up postal/ telephone survey with 40 callers. Interviews with organisations involved with compliance or enforcement aspects of the minimum wage.

Minimum wage inquiries represented 10% of inquiries to the Unit, and 61% of the inquirers were women. Of inquirers who gave a pay rate, 33% earned less than £3 per hour. Out of 24 respondents to the postal survey who were not receiving the minimum wage, 17 raised the issue with their employer and 5 took no action.

J. Winters (Canterbury Christ Church University College)

To assess the impact of the National Minimum Wage in the UK thoroughbred racing industry.

A postal questionnaire (77 respondents). Interviews with directors of the British Racing School, and the Northern Racing College.

The impact of the minimum wage has been overtaken by the labour market shortage currently facing the industry. Hourly wage rates in most stables exceed the provisions of the minimum wage. There was some evidence of increased wages and increased training fees resulting from the introduction of the minimum wage, but overall the impact has been small.

 


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